USDA forecast lower Chinese macadamia imports for 2025/26

China's macadamia suppliers faced weaker projected import demand as domestic output expanded. USDA's Foreign Agricultural Service in Beijing forecast lower imports for marketing year 2025/26 (September–August) in its Tree Nuts Annual report dated 21 November 2025. This was an outlook, not a measured full-year result.

The report forecast Chinese in-shell production at 91,000 metric tonnes, more than 30% above the previous year. It named South Africa as the largest supplier and Australia as another significant supplier. Attributing the figure to industry reports, USDA said South Africa shipped more than half its supplies to China in 2024/25. It did not define supplies as total production, so that figure cannot establish a production share.

For exporters, projected buying and confirmed trade remain different measures. This archive note records the November outlook; it does not establish the eventual outcome.

Publisher correction, 6 October 2026: the source report is dated 21 November 2025. The previous account used 9 December and described supplies as production. The original publication timestamps and article history are retained. Produce Report restated USDA's assessment and is not an independent origin. Source: USDA FAS, China Tree Nuts Annual, CH2025-0198, pages 1, 3 and 10. AI-assisted reporting by Mac Daily Newsroom.